Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.094464 0.109092 0.125235 0.144375 0.166451 0.191123 0.220799
2026-01-25 0.069684 0.088844 0.112147 0.142584 0.181318 0.229012 0.292285
2026-02-01 0.055004 0.075145 0.101361 0.138002 0.187952 0.253774 0.347299
2026-02-08 0.047336 0.068417 0.097416 0.140247 0.202008 0.288022 0.417289
2026-02-15 0.041167 0.062471 0.093211 0.140839 0.212935 0.318273 0.484463
2026-02-22 0.036675 0.058131 0.090440 0.142687 0.225287 0.351256 0.558835
2026-03-01 0.031962 0.052709 0.085192 0.139810 0.229646 0.372111 0.616383
2026-03-08 0.028220 0.048279 0.080834 0.137586 0.234422 0.393648 0.676892
2026-03-15 0.025750 0.045592 0.078900 0.138964 0.245034 0.425459 0.757682
2026-03-22 0.024481 0.044775 0.079945 0.145427 0.264883 0.474699 0.873858
2026-03-29 0.022988 0.043358 0.079741 0.149565 0.280928 0.518780 0.985506
2026-04-05 0.021527 0.041812 0.079096 0.152749 0.295446 0.561417 1.098968
2026-04-12 0.019902 0.039800 0.077435 0.153951 0.306596 0.599443 1.208995
2026-04-19 0.018076 0.037187 0.074352 0.152055 0.311535 0.626202 1.300187
2026-04-26 0.016143 0.034124 0.070038 0.147168 0.309852 0.639600 1.365577
2026-05-03 0.015175 0.032934 0.069332 0.149563 0.323321 0.684831 1.502243
2026-05-10 0.014134 0.031465 0.067882 0.150195 0.333072 0.723268 1.628562
2026-05-17 0.013314 0.030377 0.067105 0.152166 0.345881 0.769415 1.776889
2026-05-24 0.012158 0.028407 0.064209 0.149096 0.347094 0.790334 1.870452
2026-05-31 0.011172 0.026715 0.061745 0.146725 0.349602 0.814318 1.973698
2026-06-07 0.010554 0.025812 0.060972 0.148194 0.361215 0.860242 2.134163
2026-06-14 0.010343 0.025864 0.062412 0.155088 0.386529 0.940776 2.387919
2026-06-21 0.009979 0.025497 0.062820 0.159502 0.406249 1.009959 2.621269